So Many COVID-19 Models and Predictions
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So Many COVID-19 Models and Predictions

 ,
There are many models being discussed right now with attempts to predict what will happen with the COVID-19 pandemic.
 
I urge you to be cautious with COVID-19 projections.
 
Every model begins with assumptions. Any error or unexpected variation in these assumptions builds on the other assumptions (and their errors/variations) and results in potentially inaccurate conclusions for many of these models.
 
Instead:
  1. Take (common sense) appropriate actions to minimize risk
    1. Social distancing
    2. Hand washing
    3. No face touching
    4. Disinfecting high-touch surfaces)
  2. Feel free to listen to the possible model outcomes, but avoid thinking of them as a certainty.
What ends up happening will depend entirely on how we, as a society, react to this disease.
  • Take it seriously
  • Do the actions to not put yourself or your family at risk